Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3625cdc3a0575eeeef6658285aa0ba076dffe0d1a2d4402ed6ec92cdfe81dd87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 75c | 999.61$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 43c | 955.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.36 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 37c | 946.93$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 30c | 933.38$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 62c | 919.93$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.93 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…6614backed No | 31c | 822.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 64c | 806.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 70c | 794.47$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 68c | 783.38$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 71c | 671.56$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 71c | 655.61$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 5c | 550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 27c | 489.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 422.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 28c | 380$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…42e3backed Yes | 57c | 348.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 14c | 317.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 72c | 267.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 21c | 262.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 40c | 230$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 34c | 199.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 31c | 143.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…6746backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…6c2cbacked Yes | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 71c | 139.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 52c | 137.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 128.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked Yes | 25c | 118.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 33c | 114.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 71c | 109.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 72c | 104.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 87.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 72c | 86.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 83.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 50c | 82.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked No | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 65.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 35c | 63.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed No | 38c | 63.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…a376backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 30c | 57.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 55.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…ea24backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…c84dbacked Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…e559backed Yes | 64c | 47.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 28c | 42.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…a144backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 64c | 21.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…b72dbacked Yes | 65c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.