Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9babb6134f1e3dfe8d5bf059fd33d1c3422c59d677558639bfd01b2e9cfcc2b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 66c | 1,201$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.82 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 65c | 657.33$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Yes | 34c | 632.51$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 63c | 380.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Yes | 34c | 326.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 63c | 303.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 67c | 298.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 66c | 292.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 73c | 274.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Yes | 34c | 242$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…821ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked No | 65c | 127.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 91.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…6fbabacked No | 65c | 71.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…e1eabacked Yes | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…316abacked No | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…e382backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…aba1backed Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…8f5bbacked Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 30.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed Yes | 34c | 30.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…694cbacked No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 63c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2effbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…581fbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…fae8backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…359abacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-02?No won
- Will Southampton vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.