Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447a2ad94b2ecc5874eb370f47afef4541b8abb6face6773e34c029f1251bc49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 26c | 770.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked No | 74c | 651.9$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 71c | 399.97$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 29c | 345.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 39c | 294.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 142.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed No | 73c | 139.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked No | 72c | 99.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 70c | 58.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…caa2backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…e1ecbacked Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…ec89backed Yes | 29c | 47.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 71c | 34.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…8a00backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…5192backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…b048backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…2fdebacked No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…1b7fbacked No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…d6d9backed No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-02?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.