Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e0bec02620d13e09a6e470f6d8e6ac03ec6c708a246dcc6c0daa8ff3672699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 64c | 947.08$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324e…1e02backed Yes | 31c | 400.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 62c | 399.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…b84bbacked Yes | 40c | 181.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 71c | 175.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 169.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 62c | 167.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…48cabacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…6fbabacked Yes | 37c | 104.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 61c | 82.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 62c | 56.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 56c | 50.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 44c | 50.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…e32bbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…d216backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-11-02?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.