TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2024-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x95cc…7f08backed No48c3,077$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.13650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No45c2,421$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.785959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No47c1,916$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes53c1,897$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.583043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes67c1,244$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.839361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea5…4acebacked No35c1,175$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…438fbacked No5c1,003$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4708145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked No48c961.98$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Yes53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.52369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed No47c950$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.52725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No28c904.64$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes55c730$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664e…340abacked Yes75c729$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick33cpaid+151.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No7c653.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No45c581.92$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes52c508.89$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Yes52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+85.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17de…8b83backed Yes52c461.84$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes70c404.64$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3919652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe0…2a58backed Yes55c383.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No46c372.59$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f8…bd61backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…705ebacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes55c269.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4715554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No49c263.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2317945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No49c233.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.483551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2483…6c4ebacked No50c232$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3124…141ebacked Yes50c232$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No48c221.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5517143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes48c210.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.75554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes52c202.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.521553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1797…a900backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…a478backed Yes55c182.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+120.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes51c162.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No46c154.91$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.265959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed No48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969e…56aabacked Yes55c143.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586f…79d7backed Yes55c133.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c129$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No47c124.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9314659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa610…0461backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b3d…be89backed Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd8…e181backed Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7d…d669backed Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f30…772cbacked Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32dd…875abacked Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8786…a566backed Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b4…c4dbbacked Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…5100backed Yes53c99.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a0…4ed4backed Yes52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…837dbacked Yes52c99.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc9…6e10backed Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9d…ec5bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f0…b950backed Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf761…72acbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…0cd1backed Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899f…8043backed Yes51c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ce…5848backed No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d9…9e1abacked No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…95b9backed No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff9b…f09ebacked No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab4…f8f3backed No50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…1ba1backed No49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…8dd6backed No49c98.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…4652backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…99e3backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eaa…a93bbacked No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd03…cd21backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd1…3fc7backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…f6c3backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44b…92f8backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9652…36f5backed No48c98.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8dc…6f40backed No52c95.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f35…7594backed Yes51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5618…fceebacked Yes52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a1…13ebbacked Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked No51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.642030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6717234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ba…e5a9backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No29c37.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0211915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a73…d55dbacked Yes49c37.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5517backed Yes54c37.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…0bd2backed No52c37.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.