Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624229718a64966266d18f56307e8bf4f6ee5833cc7772cac59137d75faee3f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 23c | 1,221$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked No | 77c | 834.08$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Yes | 22c | 833.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 22c | 801.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 75c | 420.64$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…3228backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 222.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 24c | 215.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 77c | 207.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 71c | 202.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5538…117fbacked Yes | 16c | 190.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed No | 78c | 184.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…53b1backed Yes | 12c | 162.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed No | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed No | 78c | 128.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…ac8dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 115.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 27c | 109.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 76c | 104.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 15c | 102.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 25c | 82.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 79c | 76.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…9405backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed No | 78c | 62.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 72c | 57.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 29c | 56.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…6866backed Yes | 29c | 48.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…2917backed Yes | 29c | 43.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…ccc8backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 80c | 40.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…b8b7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…f532backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…fbddbacked No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…4cf3backed Yes | 29c | 38.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4678…971abacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…96f5backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…0418backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…d1d8backed No | 79c | 29.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 78c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…5e9fbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.