Premier League · resolved market
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01876ed8ee02399812dc73f8ee9682dd787eb9a53972b4ebaa6f09ca7eee5045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 46c | 9,926$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.3 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 56c | 8,907$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 45c | 3,813$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.23 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 17c | 3,167$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.39 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 45c | 3,042$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 2,320$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.2 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,239$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…d180backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 46c | 2,000$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.99 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 1,949$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.75 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Yes | 54c | 1,924$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 53c | 1,580$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 11c | 1,455$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 46c | 1,415$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 1,225$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.94 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…a647backed No | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Yes | 55c | 876.36$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 52c | 793.29$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 684.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 53c | 664.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 55c | 511.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Yes | 56c | 488.07$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 45c | 475.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 37c | 444$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 52c | 425.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 54c | 389.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…5fcfbacked Yes | 57c | 371.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 36c | 356.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 57c | 351.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…c84bbacked Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…4f30backed Yes | 52c | 322.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 54c | 296.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…3d7bbacked Yes | 57c | 261.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 254.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…faf5backed Yes | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…3330backed No | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 48c | 221.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…8525backed Yes | 57c | 218.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 54c | 204.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…a426backed No | 50c | 198.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…a76dbacked Yes | 53c | 197.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 54c | 168.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 50c | 140.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 53c | 129.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 51c | 126$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Yes | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…c162backed Yes | 53c | 124.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 54c | 121.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed No | 50c | 119.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…b9c6backed Yes | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…386ebacked No | 50c | 117.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…161dbacked Yes | 56c | 102.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 51c | 101.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Yes | 53c | 92.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Yes | 55c | 89.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 42c | 83.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 46c | 83.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…104cbacked Yes | 54c | 82.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…70e8backed Yes | 52c | 76.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…cdf7backed Yes | 53c | 68.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…a9b5backed Yes | 57c | 68.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…c19ebacked No | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 50c | 59.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…2a4fbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-26?No won
- Will Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.