Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57dd3e6315f27f110565a0381bc933254f1115ccc5fd56f84d5df170110e1c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,178$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 80c | 1,000$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed No | 78c | 699.55$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Yes | 22c | 544.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 27c | 374.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 27c | 373.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed Yes | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…37f0backed Yes | 24c | 267.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 115.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 24c | 101.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…07c2backed No | 77c | 61.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed No | 79c | 61.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked No | 78c | 49.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…6f9ebacked No | 77c | 47.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…8b73backed No | 77c | 42.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…d1b2backed No | 76c | 27.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed No | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 77c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…7de0backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-26?this page
- Will Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.