Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4678f163f4ca5a6a40735d14b50f3efb0b56afcb1cc6b4c3ef02f02e89af03a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,512$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 60c | 2,200$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.99 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…d180backed No | 41c | 2,001$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 39c | 1,728$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.76 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 41c | 1,075$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 62c | 878.84$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 56c | 718.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 60c | 639.82$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.53 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 38c | 532.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 38c | 506$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 39c | 411.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 17c | 345.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 65c | 337.17$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 61c | 245.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…1bc7backed Yes | 62c | 213.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…69c9backed No | 75c | 188$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 62c | 160.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed No | 41c | 148.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…9828backed No | 43c | 142.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Yes | 52c | 128.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 39c | 120.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 39c | 108.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 61c | 101.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 36c | 99.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…3298backed No | 41c | 96.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…0717backed Yes | 61c | 88.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 61c | 64.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes | 62c | 64.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…6d00backed Yes | 63c | 64.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…c236backed Yes | 60c | 57.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 63c | 55.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 32c | 53.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…9898backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…92b3backed Yes | 59c | 35.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…e855backed No | 38c | 35.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…e60dbacked No | 78c | 34.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…708dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c44backed Yes | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…8806backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes | 63c | 29.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…a767backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…01c4backed Yes | 62c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…d83bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 61c | 16.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.