Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653d79ff8bc6ab093a2c64be3da6d4ed8d2742052d0d6df9c93e78192040232c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 22c | 1,836$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.28 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 75c | 1,639$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.01 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 22c | 638.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.82 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 6c | 316.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…8b32backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…69c9backed Yes | 70c | 240.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 79c | 200.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 24c | 167.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 22c | 149.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 71c | 120.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 21c | 118.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…0225backed Yes | 74c | 82.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d616backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 79c | 39.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed No | 77c | 33.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…51acbacked Yes | 75c | 18.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed Yes | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.