MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3974ceabab0fb8951c6ccd84af3632c7617976c46a401121e9a672444bc694af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 39c | 883.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.19 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed LG Twins | 60c | 866.77$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…f86fbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 835.96$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed NC Dinos | 57c | 766.26$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 66c | 730.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.44 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 56c | 690.82$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked NC Dinos | 54c | 672.03$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 48c | 634.68$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 49c | 518.16$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 51c | 494.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 400$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed NC Dinos | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 47c | 396.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 54c | 384.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LG Twins | 30c | 343$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked LG Twins | 51c | 330$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 312.14$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed NC Dinos | 53c | 307.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked LG Twins | 28c | 288.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…d1bdbacked LG Twins | 53c | 275.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed NC Dinos | 52c | 261.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NC Dinos | 52c | 229.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 79c | 215.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed LG Twins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…81dabacked LG Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed LG Twins | 48c | 149.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…d9eabacked LG Twins | 44c | 144.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 20c | 136.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 27c | 112.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 27c | 104.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked LG Twins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 52c | 93.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed LG Twins | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 78c | 86.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LG Twins | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed LG Twins | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 56.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked LG Twins | 48c | 52.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 27c | 51.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed NC Dinos | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked NC Dinos | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed NC Dinos | 53c | 47.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked LG Twins | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 51c | 40.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed LG Twins | 48c | 37.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LG Twins | 32c | 35.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed NC Dinos | 62c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed LG Twins | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NC Dinos | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed LG Twins | 49c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LG Twins | 43c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 76c | 28.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked NC Dinos | 79c | 20.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…5adfbacked NC Dinos | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…9a55backed LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NC Dinos | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NC Dinos | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked NC Dinos | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.