Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Salzburg beat Dinamo Zagreb?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3faee26ca3a807b2f94a1c16d9c53c2651fdeaf7af7d9ed95118b274dd9bce9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd576…947bbacked No | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…1523backed Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 2,309$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.92 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…1a3dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ad08backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…3129backed Yes | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…b04abacked No | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 53c | 187.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 44c | 145.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c932backed Yes | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 56c | 118$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…8a5cbacked Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…801bbacked No | 47c | 98.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…2677backed No | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 46c | 56.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 55c | 43.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…c8e7backed No | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 53c | 41.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…b5febacked Yes | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…03f8backed No | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…336ebacked Yes | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 56c | 38.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 51c | 22.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 50c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Salzburg beat Dinamo Zagreb?this page
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat RB Salzburg?Yes won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.