Champions League · resolved market
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b15f218f788d64a3c30b950c95fca34a998d50a87f0cf0be5c69a69aac7a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 70c | 698.56$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 76c | 217.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 74c | 49.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…4c8cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 74c | 28.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…e60dbacked Yes | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Dinamo Zagreb?No won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.