TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 679 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c48,156$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.642040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c19,810$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.36500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c7,673$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes27c5,700$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26c…5fd4backed Yes41c5,568$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes39c5,402$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.147447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Yes2c4,985$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.98520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes30c4,473$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.121947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes49c4,376$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.212959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes3c4,111$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4370%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes7c3,547$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.576939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No65c3,371$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes16c3,309$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes0c3,059$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-68%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes11c3,005$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.47343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes4c3,000$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes10c2,870$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.33844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes18c2,692$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9120040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c2,505$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.3679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes42c2,415$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.442860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes60c2,296$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.4215337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5263…bad3backed No19c1,926$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+435%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes18c1,540$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.632540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes45c1,531$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.022744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes28c1,428$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7780%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes31c1,426$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.968939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes28c1,144$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.636630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes42c1,129$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.864456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef6…6c3dbacked Yes56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…6feebacked Yes56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…ad80backed No44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd6…1fccbacked No44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes13c1,087$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14642862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed No71c1,050$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes4c1,025$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…861fbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2277…5f76backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bee…6f70backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37019743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdff4…f082backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d9…d2d9backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ec…ae2bbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4590…831dbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9954…fc8bbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a85…0ccebacked Yes28c960.71$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes5c953.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c9…7077backed Yes4c914.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes5c903.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes6c894.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes42c890.98$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.245633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes41c842.25$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes34c835.62$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.21248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c797.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.822037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes46c766.99$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.231811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes50c740.34$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.154211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9c…8486backed Yes39c701.03$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…f8a8backed Yes44c654.38$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.04825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No75c617$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.357448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes38c598.77$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5410850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes77c597.13$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.362138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No65c523.23$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.311342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd569…c560backed Yes48c513.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf907…092bbacked No73c509.59$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5196…a0cabacked No19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca8…bfb2backed No48c480.76$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a38…f931backed No21c466.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.67425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5e…dbefbacked No73c452.05$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf620…3b39backed Yes63c450.41$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.53540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf123…686fbacked Yes3c410.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc545…dc80backed Yes58c383.16$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes37c366.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3dc…b9e6backed Yes26c360.38$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No78c321$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fb…8c14backed Yes13c318.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes50c310.9$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.456253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No74c309.54$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6228355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes46c307.68$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes73c306$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.387540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No53c303.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.791566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed No62c301$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.383938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes38c300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked No22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.042030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa568…0569backed Yes39c298.36$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No55c293.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.742684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes37c290.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes35c289.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2808…16babacked Yes37c286.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes44c276.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.491435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes43c270.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.311942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddc…9befbacked Yes11c265.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes8c253.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc520…811fbacked No48c249.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…7865backed Yes45c244.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+155.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes23c238.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.33130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes10c235.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.322832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf596…026cbacked Yes49c231.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes31c228.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.973844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.