Premier League · resolved market
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x387c6c12d52c5fd9d75792a872ab7d134be9a8d4846aede579ba09460c8a7dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,678,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,678,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 127,760$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 41,386$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 28,540$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,590$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…2c5bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,095$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…512ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,064$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…b92cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,944$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…632ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,896$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…46eebacked Yes | 0c | 20,897$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…eae5backed Yes | 0c | 18,996$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…9b4abacked Yes | 0c | 18,995$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…3244backed Yes | 0c | 18,995$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…2289backed Yes | 0c | 18,947$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…33e5backed Yes | 0c | 18,946$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…d313backed Yes | 0c | 18,945$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…ec11backed Yes | 0c | 18,945$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…0a05backed Yes | 0c | 18,872$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…ac66backed Yes | 0c | 18,823$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…37c7backed Yes | 0c | 18,823$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…0a96backed Yes | 0c | 18,823$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…8df2backed Yes | 0c | 18,823$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…c84bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,820$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…54a2backed Yes | 0c | 18,772$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…5e46backed Yes | 0c | 18,772$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…dc8cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,771$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…bcdebacked Yes | 0c | 18,771$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…f0cbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,771$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…758cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,771$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…270abacked Yes | 0c | 18,771$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…2bd6backed Yes | 0c | 18,698$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…5646backed Yes | 0c | 18,698$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…8e32backed Yes | 0c | 18,697$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…3625backed Yes | 0c | 18,697$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…6f53backed Yes | 0c | 18,697$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…3d3fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,625$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…d904backed Yes | 0c | 18,625$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…47e7backed Yes | 0c | 18,625$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…add2backed Yes | 0c | 18,574$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dd…f786backed Yes | 0c | 18,574$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…2a40backed Yes | 0c | 18,573$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…777abacked Yes | 0c | 18,573$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…5004backed Yes | 0c | 18,573$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…ba0fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,127$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…61e4backed Yes | 0c | 17,957$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…3923backed Yes | 0c | 17,943$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…6566backed Yes | 0c | 17,750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…3464backed Yes | 0c | 17,404$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…6c0ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,790$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…427cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,785$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…2cbcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,639$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…9230backed Yes | 0c | 15,517$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…5e3fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,497$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…85a2backed Yes | 0c | 15,497$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 14,112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…6d07backed Yes | 0c | 13,578$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…2c28backed Yes | 0c | 8,896$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 8,226$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes | 0c | 6,899$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 5,130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,063$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 4,424$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…925fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…a38abacked Yes | 0c | 3,673$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…e8adbacked Yes | 0c | 2,735$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…efa3backed Yes | 0c | 2,541$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…36ecbacked Yes | 0c | 2,465$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?this page
- Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Dominic Solanke be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes won
- Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.