TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c37,120$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.249917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes0c12,368$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc5…ecb6backed Yes9c10,268$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…654ebacked Yes7c7,437$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c6,802$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.13780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes7c4,534$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.894211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes1c4,148$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes1c2,534$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.117343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Yes4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes2c1,765$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.31110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d6…aa2ebacked Yes6c1,590$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c1,566$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes2c1,486$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes4c1,467$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes4c1,368$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3518232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x896a…6507backed Yes10c1,356$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2211…2c46backed Yes6c1,185$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc574…1384backed Yes6c1,125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f0…94f3backed Yes10c988$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes7c965.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.636630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9432…daa7backed Yes12c905$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369b…5129backed Yes2c882.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e61…d8b2backed Yes10c872$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes9c778.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.08205%1 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d98…89ccbacked Yes6c750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…aba9backed Yes6c750$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes5c707.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes9c683.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2170…d2aabacked Yes10c620$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1797…c001backed Yes10c620$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46c…946fbacked Yes5c571.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d75…30f9backed Yes10c504$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1240…9c9bbacked Yes10c504$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34de…f959backed Yes11c489.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf297…fce5backed Yes11c477$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ef…4c0fbacked Yes10c464$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…aca4backed Yes7c407.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8978…2b8dbacked Yes6c405$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b7…f55abacked Yes6c405$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7227…ede8backed Yes6c405$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cd…1b42backed Yes6c405$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…c763backed Yes6c375$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d91…d231backed Yes6c375$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8880…5514backed Yes10c348$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…7628backed Yes10c348$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…29f0backed Yes9c348$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e88…5536backed Yes9c348$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef0…94f0backed Yes10c348$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6d…c464backed Yes10c348$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b66…803dbacked Yes5c345$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…c536backed Yes6c345$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…2630backed Yes6c345$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23b…1d4fbacked Yes6c345$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes6c330.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3dc…b9e6backed Yes10c327.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd9…986bbacked Yes5c319$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a43…e8d2backed Yes4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes7c288.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b3…f9a2backed Yes8c259.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2072…5eddbacked Yes10c252$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbff…33e6backed Yes9c252$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfb…ff24backed Yes10c252$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe2…5da8backed Yes10c252$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c5…4b33backed Yes10c252$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes6c247.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.883938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ad2…ac3fbacked Yes11c244$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes6c234.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad24…6f1ebacked Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…e171backed Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3251…a760backed Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce32…a725backed Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf52…d58abacked Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67db…90e3backed Yes9c232$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6214…89dcbacked Yes10c232$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…73e1backed Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779e…a57dbacked Yes9c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e17…7c8ebacked Yes10c232$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…80d9backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa872…cf5cbacked Yes5c208.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4187…d106backed Yes12c198$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4717…02ebbacked Yes12c198$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes12c184.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.634766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…b4c8backed Yes10c184$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed93…e754backed Yes11c178.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes11c177.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0612149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes12c175$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes12c169.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7a…15ecbacked Yes6c156.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1254…215cbacked Yes13c156$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4839…dd0fbacked Yes10c156$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca95…5f6dbacked Yes10c156$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…8688backed Yes10c153$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd28…f399backed Yes11c153$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x730d…183abacked Yes10c152$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…cc15backed Yes10c136$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc3…80c8backed Yes11c132$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.