Premier League · resolved market
Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8643bd31e11f44c6541dd7953e2baf504cfda8b3a32e02e9c6c2b9224b85e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 82,176$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 28,344$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…8f6bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,692$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…216abacked Yes | 1c | 9,194$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4120…b2a4backed Yes | 0c | 8,790$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,829$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…05f3backed Yes | 0c | 4,254$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 3,454$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?this page
- Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Dominic Solanke be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes won
- Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.