Premier League · resolved market
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0346db74f1c1c7e8a05ef281df7992dccbb2df8a6a3b614d932ee93510a8600d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 7,567$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,348$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 6,126$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.02 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 6c | 5,844$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,543$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,531$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 1c | 5,126$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 3c | 4,538$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 5c | 3,957$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,755$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 5c | 3,186$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 2,286$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,933$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,907$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 4c | 1,667$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 5c | 1,543$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…2735backed Yes | 1c | 1,318$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…eea0backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…a48dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 7c | 1,018$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 14c | 1,011$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 999.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 938$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 4c | 860.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 10c | 857.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 10c | 725.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 4c | 713.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes | 3c | 646.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1797backed Yes | 9c | 618.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 581.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 4c | 565.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 7c | 544$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 522.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 11c | 493.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31e…384cbacked Yes | 9c | 490.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 9c | 333.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 9c | 315.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…1fc2backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…f8fbbacked Yes | 7c | 277.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 277.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 8c | 258$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 8c | 238$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…8bc4backed Yes | 9c | 222.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…e03cbacked Yes | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…a4efbacked Yes | 8c | 200.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 7c | 168.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes | 9c | 163.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 8c | 155.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…260abacked Yes | 8c | 150.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 12c | 100.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?this page
- Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Dominic Solanke be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes won
- Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.