Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda364280a69d59c557c13e65a3df3aa4263697d6d7593704848953cc211e26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 42c | 6,947$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.86 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 4,483$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.76 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 23c | 3,437$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…79cbbacked Yes | 40c | 3,359$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 61c | 3,202$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.31 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.97 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked No | 25c | 2,560$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 63c | 2,531$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…82f5backed No | 60c | 2,089$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…e20ebacked No | 60c | 1,813$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 39c | 1,377$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.97 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 42c | 1,213$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 13c | 1,097$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.67 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed No | 50c | 840.08$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 61c | 830$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 71c | 779.59$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 56c | 694.32$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 78c | 672.75$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.74 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 605.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 24c | 388.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.29 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 43c | 370.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 38c | 359.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 60c | 324.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 64c | 266.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 250.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…4d55backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…f430backed Yes | 40c | 249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 41c | 245.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…0225backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 44c | 210.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864d…5996backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 62c | 178.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b3…2372backed Yes | 74c | 170$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…3510backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Yes | 70c | 118.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked No | 43c | 98.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…2555backed Yes | 43c | 80.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…3f87backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 71c | 69.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…e382backed No | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed No | 41c | 65.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 48c | 60.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…39f1backed Yes | 38c | 52.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…19c4backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…2093backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked No | 60c | 45.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked Yes | 61c | 45.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +329.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793a…197abacked Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…e1f0backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 62c | 40.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…b7bdbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…576fbacked Yes | 75c | 39.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 41c | 39.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…7284backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…34f3backed No | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…3c12backed No | 59c | 34.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…3eeebacked Yes | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a4acbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…1fe0backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4904…739abacked Yes | 38c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…9938backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…b83cbacked No | 40c | 25.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…341fbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 18.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.