World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dff38a98f44ea6520bcae0f5e8e1846a9e5bb9bbfdbd66c7cbc374edddf96f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89fd…da46backed Yes | 3c | 11,525$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…3596backed Yes | 3c | 4,666$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 7c | 3,853$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,969$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Yes | 23c | 1,902$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +1,619.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,629$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 20c | 1,473$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,438$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,094$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 64c | 846.28$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.45 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 3c | 792.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 733$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 59c | 710.09$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 3c | 683.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 36c | 678.38$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a7a2backed Yes | 5c | 669.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 588.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 566.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 38c | 458.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 64c | 311.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 59c | 311.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 308.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed Yes | 44c | 266.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Yes | 41c | 159.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 46c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 127$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 51c | 91.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Yes | 19c | 90.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…5749backed Yes | 60c | 90.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 37c | 88.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…36dabacked Yes | 17c | 63.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 64c | 61.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 52c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 28c | 47.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…2362backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 39c | 41.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 38c | 36.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 48c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…886dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5af9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?this page
- Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.