World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f1b9aa3720b38c6e946ef8423aa537c4ea7b86cd9056caf3431c3002201ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 4,088$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.85 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 15c | 3,994$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.36 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,810$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 8c | 2,312$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 4c | 1,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 6c | 1,400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed No | 68c | 800.31$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 625.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 588.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 7c | 492.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 439$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 366.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 24c | 352.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.68 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 330$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 36c | 300.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 4c | 252.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 21c | 237.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 16c | 224.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 12c | 170.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…873dbacked Yes | 16c | 153.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Yes | 27c | 145.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 48c | 122.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 50c | 117.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 12c | 115.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 16c | 103.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 101.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 44c | 61.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…a80dbacked No | 77c | 58.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 56.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 34.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…2362backed No | 74c | 26.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4f97backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…736cbacked No | 73c | 14.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?this page
- Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.