World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74e9bf5270cb0c7f44db472beb29fc6563bd9fe7469111201f436ecc7a81050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 17c | 3,814$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 16c | 1,884$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.82 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,444$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 17c | 1,030$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 79c | 1,016$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…8a48backed Yes | 23c | 700$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…0708backed Yes | 16c | 624.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +599.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 429$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b9…d5ffbacked Yes | 27c | 374.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked No | 74c | 334.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 18c | 206.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 16c | 187.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 147.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…cb90backed No | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c296backed No | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…df3abacked No | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 21c | 61.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 80c | 55.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 77c | 39.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4f97backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 75c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?this page
- Will voter turnout be at least 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.