MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc55a3d15423f4503879f7faf3fba9a5d40a3247d3d19fa5678deb130c5c5b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 1,277$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.83 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 769.34$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…d538backed Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 668.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 609.74$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 242.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 219$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 208.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 192.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 181.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 152.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 143.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 113.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 92.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 74.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 59.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 36.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 71c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 25.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Doosan Bears | 78c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.