Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13503e5bb3c94645d04fb97420328413ae86996a825c5a5a82d1ba221b00aa71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 48c | 12,156$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 17c | 8,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.99 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 6,224$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 59c | 5,599$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 45c | 5,492$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.59 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 64c | 3,737$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.61 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 70c | 3,288$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.24 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 59c | 2,613$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 2,559$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.11 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 2,221$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.84 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 60c | 1,602$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.13 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,034$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.44 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 72c | 847$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 41c | 809.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 58c | 648.64$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.93 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 39c | 608$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 604.87$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 32c | 593.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 38c | 488.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 381$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 10c | 259.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 61c | 240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 31c | 217$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 26c | 215.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 36c | 189$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 40c | 175.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 40c | 143$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 133.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Yes | 64c | 125.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 41c | 82.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 61c | 81.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 66c | 75.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 63c | 68.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 49.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…7c8fbacked Yes | 71c | 44.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 44.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 44.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 38c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 41c | 36.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 40c | 26.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 61c | 26.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…4190backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…844cbacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 41c | 24.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…ecc4backed Yes | 68c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 21.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 64c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…d2f0backed No | 60c | 17.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.