Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48223d607317d21c3eb83fb212fe0c10f155f7d410c30834e773297373335309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 4,620$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.53 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 3,625$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,006$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 1,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 1,417$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 1,013$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 45c | 582.2$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 24c | 555$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 554.37$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 33c | 525$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 73c | 159.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 42c | 125.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 27c | 103.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 27c | 98.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 96.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 29c | 84.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…a4e0backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yes | 30c | 41.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…dbf7backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.