Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c30b54132d7a15c44e7b5644a9b1307947c12b560247425515ec8019b30fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 35c | 9,750$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.27 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 8,711$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.41 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 7,998$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yes | 27c | 5,964$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 3,203$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 1,834$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.42 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 9c | 1,741$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,716$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 66c | 1,491$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.85 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 1,371$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.45 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 21c | 1,260$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 1,255$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 1,237$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.81 | 502 | 49.8%250 W · 252 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 1,005$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 965.8$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 33c | 853.88$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 35c | 610$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 68c | 590$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 32c | 558.52$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 509.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 34c | 443.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 12c | 414.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 413 | 53.8%222 W · 191 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 65c | 384.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 67c | 333$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 35c | 200.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 34c | 149.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…dc7fbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 19c | 145.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc3fbacked Yes | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 67c | 105.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed Yes | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…85c2backed Yes | 15c | 100.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 93.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 835 | 59.3%495 W · 340 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…bfc9backed No | 67c | 90.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 34c | 89.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 24c | 63.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 42.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 66c | 37.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 33c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 34c | 35.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 79c | 31.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 68c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.