Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1af0d3cb749887a0c15acbefb583636a8e1172e07cd3613d916b06043205820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 49c | 85,213$41,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,447.59 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 51c | 40,167$20,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,491.73 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 51c | 20,045$10,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,225.45 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 52c | 13,324$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 9,993$5,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 8,542$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.36 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 52c | 4,196$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 3,234$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.73 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,726$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.03 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked No | 53c | 1,809$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 1,720$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.49 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 51c | 1,623$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 49c | 1,532$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 53c | 1,253$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 47c | 1,197$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.39 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 54c | 993$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 48c | 894.73$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.21 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 885.04$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.51 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 9c | 844.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 51c | 799.95$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 48c | 773.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.13 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 692.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 48c | 625.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 43c | 577.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 22c | 563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 52c | 499.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 48c | 466.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 7c | 459$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 48c | 422.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 56c | 387.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…2317backed Yes | 49c | 379.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 52c | 343$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 54c | 336.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 54c | 335.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 53c | 328.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 48c | 251.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 49c | 231.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 188.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 48c | 172.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 54c | 159.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 52c | 138.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…5c09backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…31cabacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 45c | 89.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 86.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed No | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 49c | 82.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 47c | 63.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 48c | 61.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 57c | 57.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…7b2dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fc85backed Yes | 61c | 52.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…d713backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…57e6backed Yes | 45c | 44.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 58c | 44.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Fiorentina vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.