TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$510,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$563,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Athletics45c178,903$80,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,506.3438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Rangers56c128,204$71,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,414.4317652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics44c80,272$35,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,319.8438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Rangers55c54,539$29,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,542.74057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics45c35,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,75060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Athletics51c19,790$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.9528646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers61c13,404$8,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.861,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics44c11,996$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,278.3735952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers49c11,180$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,654.631,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers57c11,073$6,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Athletics6c8,894$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Rangers55c8,654$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.4519649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics31c4,863$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.669,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers55c4,444$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.791,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Rangers56c4,420$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.9613065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Rangers80c4,212$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics31c3,578$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.5954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Athletics46c3,258$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.6833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers55c2,697$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers54c2,652$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.91,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Rangers56c2,512$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.8913553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers53c1,992$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics44c1,955$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.381,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers56c1,883$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.6521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Athletics47c1,750$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Athletics25c1,466$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1727733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics44c1,150$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rangers51c1,024$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.825454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers50c1,004$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Athletics45c1,001$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.441844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics41c949.05$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1121246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics45c941$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.459448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics10c934.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.871,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Athletics44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Athletics44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33024547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Athletics24c700$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16617243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics45c666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics38c578$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.776,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Rangers56c541.63$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics44c521$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Rangers58c514.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.111748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Athletics46c510.87$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Rangers77c482.13$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3125364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Rangers70c478.57$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.575763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Rangers79c419.27$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.055352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rangers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…1808backed Rangers56c358.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1211056.4%62 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics44c349.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics32c308.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.294,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Rangers55c270.91$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9111257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Rangers56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.863345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Athletics45c266.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Athletics44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Rangers54c208.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6914055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6668769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Athletics8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers53c199.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics32c191.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.570841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa555…2d6fbacked Rangers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers54c175.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers46c143$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.221,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Athletics54c143$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rangers76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5843153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Rangers66c128$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Rangers79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rangers70c121.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Rangers55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.65955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Rangers72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1710255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Athletics21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rangers73c94.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Athletics18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics46c79.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Athletics20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers55c64.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics23c60.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0860…d30fbacked Rangers52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Athletics45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Rangers56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Athletics45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Athletics44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed Athletics45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2525155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Athletics45c43.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5416140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Rangers55c39.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8223753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers54c38.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Rangers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7114450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa7…fd9ebacked Athletics38c33.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…52acbacked Athletics46c32.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc69a…b9ccbacked Rangers55c32.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Athletics44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.254352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Rangers56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7930446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dde…8a88backed Rangers80c25.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1310451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Rangers76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1243542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.