La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2b58286dd9d6a15d47f98b85295c2fc36536aadc46f82b4face1231d3ccdeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Levante UD, Villarreal CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Levante UD | 2c | 2,856$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…ba18backed Levante UD | 3c | 1,360$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…d9d4backed Levante UD | 2c | 1,010$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…372cbacked Levante UD | 2c | 1,010$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42e…1d5cbacked Levante UD | 2c | 1,010$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…955bbacked Levante UD | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…44f6backed Levante UD | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…2cc2backed Levante UD | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…cc17backed Levante UD | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…6ab7backed Levante UD | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…2955backed Levante UD | 3c | 978$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a82…13cfbacked Levante UD | 3c | 973$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…7111backed Levante UD | 3c | 971$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…eb5dbacked Levante UD | 3c | 970$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446a…2d7dbacked Levante UD | 3c | 967$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…b2babacked Levante UD | 3c | 963$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2655backed Levante UD | 3c | 961$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…08a1backed Levante UD | 3c | 960$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…8239backed Levante UD | 3c | 957$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…15fdbacked Levante UD | 3c | 955$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…48c6backed Levante UD | 2c | 950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…da31backed Levante UD | 2c | 950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…9454backed Levante UD | 3c | 928$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…a3cbbacked Levante UD | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…8094backed Levante UD | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…cb87backed Levante UD | 2c | 890$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…ca2cbacked Levante UD | 2c | 890$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Levante UD | 1c | 805.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Villarreal CF | 53c | 175.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…e12cbacked Levante UD | 46c | 170.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…7fa5backed Levante UD | 47c | 44.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Villarreal CF | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Levante UD | 46c | 25.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.