Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x314412eb43514c01056cfd185060f448787803b507d28fdf046d363d7b11902f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 48c | 23,402$11,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,285.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 54c | 12,410$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 4,154$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.23 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 3,292$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.17 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 2,955$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 2,888$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 49c | 2,846$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.47 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 52c | 2,236$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.7 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 48c | 2,061$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.09 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 1,916$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.84 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,766$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.92 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 1,730$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.86 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 1,321$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 831.38$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.38 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Yes | 50c | 735.56$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 54c | 707.61$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 63c | 675.36$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.96 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 607.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 580.72$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 53c | 460.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 55c | 446.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 51c | 429.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 45c | 409.62$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 52c | 384.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 54c | 373.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 55c | 365.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed No | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 52c | 258.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 73c | 240.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 48c | 233.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Yes | 77c | 229.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 221.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 49c | 211.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 205.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 201.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 36c | 188.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 185.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 52c | 174.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…7edbbacked Yes | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 50c | 122.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 114$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 45c | 112.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 58c | 109.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 86.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 56c | 74.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 51c | 73.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Yes | 56c | 68.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 47c | 62.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 29c | 61.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 66c | 61.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 53c | 60.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 49c | 59.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 56.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 50.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 48.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 52c | 43.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 48c | 42.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…6dafbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 74c | 40.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Yes | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…8124backed No | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.