Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4e49ae772813235a76cbf941f8c5c2c07968731cd500bb23581360cc89eb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 15,580$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,997.68 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,019$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 3,799$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 2,770$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.8 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 1,331$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.29 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 851.89$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.04 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 735$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 21c | 475.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 7c | 421$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.53 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 370$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 35c | 369$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 80c | 290$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 279.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 75c | 241.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 41c | 206$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 7c | 198.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 151.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 146.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 22c | 143.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…6759backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 37c | 122.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 72c | 118.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 22c | 109$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 18c | 95.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 22c | 84.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 81.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 81.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 22c | 79.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…e384backed No | 18c | 61.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 53.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 22c | 51.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 50.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 26c | 48.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 65c | 45.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 59c | 41.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 24.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…02f1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 14.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.