TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$823,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$819,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed No65c463,864$300,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,056.391030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c141,453$49,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,703.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes35c120,440$41,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,753.9614146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c48,046$17,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,059.092,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c46,252$9,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,489.64,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No66c32,398$21,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,916.8835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes29c26,642$7,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,825.2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes35c18,169$6,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,436.7440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes35c18,043$6,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,396.2323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes35c17,941$6,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,258.7419840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No65c16,820$10,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,886.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c16,298$5,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,658.21,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c16,027$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769.8150949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0806538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c10,853$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.251,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes31c9,669$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes34c9,604$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.361650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes36c9,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2406746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes36c7,637$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes11c7,088$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.7892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked No65c5,862$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c5,052$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.731,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c4,719$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes2c4,706$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1210418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…73dcbacked Yes15c4,290$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes36c4,165$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.48251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3607060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No65c3,455$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.567667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c3,311$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.221,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes7c3,062$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.39851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes0c3,008$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes36c2,938$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes35c2,923$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.187653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Yes32c2,857$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c2,533$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.784537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes36c2,527$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.1922658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No65c2,436$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.459058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes1c2,117$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9711336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes34c2,003$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.987936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No69c1,600$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0322653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes13c1,600$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes3c1,540$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6512823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No64c1,500$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes34c1,469$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9927958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Yes35c1,420$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.972347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes4c1,345$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6911819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No68c1,293$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.573369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c1,288$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.823,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes1c1,269$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.826437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Yes15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+305.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,249$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2611333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes12c1,178$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1221950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes15c1,174$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.132951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes33c1,145$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.576931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No66c1,129$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8213645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c1,077$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8984939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes36c1,063$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes8c1,039$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3310121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No64c1,038$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Yes34c982.51$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes37c962.2$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes12c921.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.643351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes35c892.2$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.273850%19 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c884.29$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3515151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes2c800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c791.94$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes37c748.41$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes36c747.3$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.031631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c734.87$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.371,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No66c733.72$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.469660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes37c728.87$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.481,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes35c728.2$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4245949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c720.91$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9465356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes3c717.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes33c671.86$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.713531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes2c669.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.764119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c619$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes2c618.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3733161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes35c588.06$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes5c587.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.434665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes35c576.6$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0870050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No66c566.97$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.772433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes34c564.94$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.082516%4 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes35c549.12$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1911352.2%59 W · 54 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes32c541.95$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.444544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes35c517.62$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1575751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes35c515.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3423843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Yes35c507.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5313362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5312166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1de…2898backed Yes36c480.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes3c467.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No66c450.62$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2113062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes26c445.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.