Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d885201fb00adf43130911c8ce613a3f82c598fe437ed22e3ec1177c9d0763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Reilly Opelka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Reilly Opelka | 57c | 63,295$35,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,988.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 52,584$27,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,889.98 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 49,999$23,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.43 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Reilly Opelka | 53c | 29,020$15,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,482.41 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 22,032$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,132.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 21,737$11,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,302.4 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 19,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.98 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 18,040$8,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 17,086$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Reilly Opelka | 54c | 16,090$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,668.55 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 14,936$7,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766.6 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 13,718$8,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 12,055$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.86 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Reilly Opelka | 28c | 10,864$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 10,479$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 9,923$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Reilly Opelka | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.82 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 7,306$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.33 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Reilly Opelka | 51c | 6,892$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.94 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 6,063$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 54c | 5,924$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.62 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Reilly Opelka | 52c | 5,625$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.22 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 5,604$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 5,062$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.27 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…8975backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 3,972$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 3,942$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.89 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 3,340$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.88 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 3,237$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.71 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.18 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Reilly Opelka | 50c | 2,845$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.51 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 2,773$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.04 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 2,609$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.93 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 2,593$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.17 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 2,329$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 2,315$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.48 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 2,306$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.46 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Reilly Opelka | 54c | 2,278$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.1 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 2,235$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.06 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…01cabacked Reilly Opelka | 54c | 2,228$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 2,200$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…6d44backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 2,184$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 2,112$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.31 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 2,111$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.88 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Reilly Opelka | 6c | 2,045$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Reilly Opelka | 50c | 1,994$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 1,966$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 1,839$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.9 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Reilly Opelka | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Reilly Opelka | 55c | 1,781$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.52 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 1,725$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.26 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 1,717$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.32 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 1,523$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 1,470$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.57 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,449$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.08 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,419$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,417$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.15 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 52c | 1,361$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.1 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,307$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.75 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Reilly Opelka | 54c | 1,290$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.42 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 1,099$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.39 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…75bbbacked Reilly Opelka | 51c | 1,039$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Reilly Opelka | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 994.57$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Reilly Opelka | 51c | 989.63$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.71 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 982.54$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.75 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Reilly Opelka | 49c | 960.36$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.57 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Reilly Opelka | 6c | 955.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 916.63$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.48 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 873$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 870.84$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…f987backed Reilly Opelka | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 867.86$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 805.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 786.66$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 782.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 777.2$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 708.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.23 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 696.35$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.07 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Reilly Opelka | 25c | 639.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Reilly Opelka | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Reilly Opelka | 55c | 599.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 586.17$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 576.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 557.62$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.39 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 553.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 553.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…7d75backed Reilly Opelka | 55c | 546.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Reilly Opelka | 49c | 545.89$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 494.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 494.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Reilly Opelka | 52c | 492.7$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.