MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4acf9ff3849415841100ab967edc4083609fb24ed832efb12f8fe0c9457b9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 53c | 131,136$69,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,950.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,999.85 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 45c | 97,958$44,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,877.16 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 46c | 55,028$25,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,682.69 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 21,685$11,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,493.24 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 16,855$8,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,636.08 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 55c | 16,082$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,845.01 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 44c | 11,896$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 50c | 11,622$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.27 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 9,938$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 9,161$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.44 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 7,897$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.41 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 55c | 7,153$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.76 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 57c | 6,871$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Under | 55c | 6,811$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.05 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 5,421$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.3 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 5,421$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.3 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,114$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 56c | 3,700$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 3,484$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.68 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 3,324$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.66 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 3,246$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 53c | 3,027$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.14 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Over | 57c | 2,564$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,378$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 55c | 2,157$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.43 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Under | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 1,945$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.91 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 1,942$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,735$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 46c | 1,727$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.19 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,516$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.79 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 1,457$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 1,181$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.63 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 1,167$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 1,143$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 50c | 999.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.55 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 988.96$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.37 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 949.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 940.35$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.56 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…baf5backed Over | 51c | 838.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 77c | 715.77$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.71 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 707.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 701.45$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 58c | 672.26$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 620.76$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 48c | 601.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 535.06$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Under | 34c | 496.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 482.92$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 364.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 357.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 32c | 295.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 44c | 252.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Over | 72c | 250$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 57c | 233.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 12c | 211.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Under | 46c | 209.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 42c | 199.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 47c | 171.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Over | 51c | 159.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 62c | 158.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 46c | 156.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 142.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 53c | 140.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 48c | 132.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 132.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 131.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 54c | 128.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed Over | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 102.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 98.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 91.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 78c | 89.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 86.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 56c | 75.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 19c | 73.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 68c | 72.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 56c | 70.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 50c | 69.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. AthleticsTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.