TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over43c7,597$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.481,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c2,733$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.471,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over31c1,138$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.736,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over74c999.23$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.244,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over42c965.2$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8244451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over45c960.24$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.8848850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c897.24$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.431,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c889.13$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.971,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under10c697.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6416019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c667.78$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.721,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under57c628.36$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.161,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under58c615.96$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.271,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under62c583.85$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.71,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under57c549.3$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3712656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c496.53$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270f…5e39backed Over39c466.09$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+116.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c454.49$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over39c438.48$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.472,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c398.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under51c380.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.142241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under62c349.6$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7524651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under48c307.84$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6211347.8%54 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over37c294.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2510033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over36c293.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7878146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under60c283.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8615858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over56c261.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.765,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under35c255$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under76c242.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6710860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under59c231.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3394648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under63c227.87$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.174,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c218.73$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.491,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over38c190.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under59c190.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.839351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over48c182.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.924156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under62c181.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under49c164.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.733,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under57c157.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9936649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over39c129.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7318553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over65c120.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Over41c117.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.528949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under57c116.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5827351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over43c115.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0649649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c115.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.982,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over47c115.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.065052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Over72c111.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6114039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under30c108.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2214034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under31c93.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8967742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under29c90.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under57c85.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6912750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under56c72.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8234452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d7…3ed2backed Under70c70.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.091650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under58c70.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.651,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under24c68.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.449942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under58c67.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399044.4%40 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under54c64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under60c63.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over38c62.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under46c58.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0226553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under61c57.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.883839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under61c57.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.884245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under60c56.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1737747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over46c51.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6428850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Under54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.259448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under60c40.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3952449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under60c40.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3912250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under61c40.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4215552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over49c39.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3710449%51 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over44c38.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6515351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafd…723fbacked Under56c35.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c34.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.125,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under67c28.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1866749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c27.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under60c26.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.116538.5%25 W · 40 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c25.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Under57c23.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.582445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b3…626abacked Under59c22.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f43…01a8backed Over49c21.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.165236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc82b…4a75backed Under59c19.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under57c19.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.340341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under58c19.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3135547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over53c18.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f4…8d0fbacked Under59c17.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…d047backed Under62c16.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.