TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$425,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes25c95,733$23,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,858.96832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c40,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes26c32,791$8,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,293.760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes24c16,493$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,534.915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed No0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No76c12,000$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1206350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2974…95d6backed Yes25c10,314$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,735.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed Yes23c10,246$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,889.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c8,371$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,334.572,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No77c8,076$6,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.511060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No75c8,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No45c7,537$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.4621950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No77c7,259$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes23c7,022$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.0310145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No75c6,419$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No75c6,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5009457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c5,249$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.3218956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes7c4,943$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,597.3422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c4,767$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.791,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes24c4,398$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.393847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes22c4,229$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.372040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No76c3,816$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.952958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…9837backed Yes23c3,697$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+182.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No75c3,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No76c2,935$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.5322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes18c2,892$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+22.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.23837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No78c2,482$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.12466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c2,259$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.8792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No77c2,004$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.027667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5202365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5407561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef8…0b4dbacked Yes25c1,910$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8296…7910backed Yes21c1,814$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes17c1,519$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.145940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No76c1,463$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.881747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c1,400$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.9164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No75c1,213$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.7410558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36b…0cb1backed Yes25c1,146$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c1,100$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.7583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c1,027$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.251,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes22c999.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9848153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.069354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes10c946$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No75c900$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67510759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes24c858.28$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No20c796.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.144119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Yes21c773.25$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No76c731.36$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.438758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Yes7c708$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+460.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes22c686.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.873218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c666$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes15c632.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.777024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c619.06$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes18c611.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.14055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes21c582.72$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.795446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes24c572.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c511.08$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.851,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3759660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes17c475.72$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.851947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes18c475.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.835226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No75c460$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes21c457.76$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.51520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Yes21c453.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No78c442.79$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3810250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes18c409$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0512626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes24c406.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3094946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked No80c399.05$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes24c397.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.235831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes6c393.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.585955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick34cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.55939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes24c380.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes64c356.87$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.254537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes25c337.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.21926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes21c319.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c315.17$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No80c315.01$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes19c305.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.413923.1%9 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ca…f6f6backed Yes24c298.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c287.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.564822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes20c287.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb841…3cfbbacked No77c279$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes18c270.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.994632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…459fbacked Yes20c249.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No76c246.8$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0723843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No76c246.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.265366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.