Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c55fe13594aaed559e43c332f40c134aeb11cf4ede3b3dea1413ac6aa6aeab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 57c | 2,171$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Over | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 742.95$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 54c | 728$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Over | 46c | 716.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 45c | 610.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 55c | 533.72$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 505.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.07 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 465.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 455.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 47c | 404.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 376.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 248.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 55c | 241.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 206.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Under | 56c | 173.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 77c | 126.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 113.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 34c | 112.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 71c | 107.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed Over | 47c | 91.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 76.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 46c | 54.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 54c | 49.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 48.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 48.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 48.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 66c | 44.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 45c | 42.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 47c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 46c | 37.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 31.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Over | 47c | 27.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 66c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 47c | 21.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…011cbacked Under | 55c | 18.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.