Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2d5d9ed2446478ef00fcffe23315b0692ded5ffb59eb9b144418a6b98e5499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,809$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.47 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 943.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 8c | 311.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 69c | 247.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 51c | 204.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 55c | 184.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 53c | 183.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 175.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked No | 45c | 169.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 46c | 147.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 45c | 107.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 105.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 46c | 105.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 52c | 99.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 84.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 75.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 74.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 71.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 53c | 61.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked No | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed No | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 62c | 41.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 33.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 33.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 49c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 27.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 55c | 25.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed No | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.