South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865c0db4252408731809cb893d7c5e0d5a301858cbf7746c5de4994b720486f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 40c | 9,890$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.19 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 5,258$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.71 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 5,193$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,399$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.24 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 60c | 4,218$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.3 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 39c | 4,209$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 68c | 1,963$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.32 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 966.4$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 60c | 699.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 577.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 481.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 60c | 481.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 16c | 327.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 294.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Yes | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 60c | 122.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 69c | 92.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 39c | 66.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 41c | 58.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 60c | 51.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 28c | 47.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 60c | 40.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 60c | 26.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 59c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 70c | 25.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed No | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked No | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.