South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabee736361def22c4dbd311834e475d74f06ddabf25a7dad4f4c453b203a9caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 56c | 6,848$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,513$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.57 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 2,441$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.04 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 2,173$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.34 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 1,765$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.13 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 28c | 1,637$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.25 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,025$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 15c | 825.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 817.33$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.48 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 51c | 794.15$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 69c | 790.22$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 761.39$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.21 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 47c | 709.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 708.85$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 54c | 676.66$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 628.84$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.28 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 508.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 396.63$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 56c | 288.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 20c | 274.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 262.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 41c | 239.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 233.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 63c | 208.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 28c | 204$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 168.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 148.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 132.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 15c | 129.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 51c | 115.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 99.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 40c | 90.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 23c | 78.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 78.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 72c | 72.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…9872backed Yes | 71c | 55.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 28c | 51.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 58c | 50.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed No | 48c | 50.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 73c | 48.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked No | 30c | 45.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed No | 39c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 28c | 42.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…3039backed Yes | 59c | 40.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 39.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 39.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 37.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 34.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 34c | 30.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 74c | 29.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 73c | 29.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 59c | 26.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 74c | 22.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 73c | 17.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 73c | 17.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 73c | 14.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.