TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c11,559$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.151,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c7,826$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.112,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c6,094$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.578,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c2,818$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.825,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes29c2,311$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No76c2,099$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes29c1,845$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.063831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c1,627$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.231,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No64c1,477$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8720046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes29c1,155$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes26c1,008$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.832544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.225525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c706.49$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.211,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes19c662.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9348922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No73c659.68$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3550746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.723145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes9c606.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c533.91$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.143928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No73c499.86$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes29c491.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes31c491.67$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes33c465.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No74c400$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2623551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c353.76$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5725625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Yes28c341.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.644658.7%27 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c313.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.311,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes31c312.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes28c310.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.084746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes23c288.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.036036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Yes30c288.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes36c271.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…5142backed Yes9c242.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes27c193.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No64c187.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c163.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8f…e299backed Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes36c139.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.324139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0519144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked No72c134.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.551250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x395c…0be0backed Yes36c132.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-70.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No74c126.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.787460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7075…0a8dbacked Yes11c120.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes34c117.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.282,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes29c114.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.343831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes21c110.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes30c108.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.573923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4618743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c105.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes36c104.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No66c101.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c101.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No66c101.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid+54.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes36c98.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5810331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes20c98.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8313739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.623231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6251654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d2…4271backed Yes36c93.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes29c91.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4310826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No73c88.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c88.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.983,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes25c85.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes35c84.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.471,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c80.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc118…54c2backed Yes30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2541145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c77.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes31c76.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes18c73.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Yes31c73.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.781650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes31c63.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7614352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No69c62.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.49124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes20c61.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.384822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9a…7712backed No72c59.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No67c57.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes27c56.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No73c53.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4920…6632backed Yes29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6f…dc88backed Yes29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c46.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1412259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No78c43.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfef7…8c9dbacked Yes30c40.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Yes31c40.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes36c40.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4211140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.