South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2d551f7ec5281d016fa82dff8e561347363ba6ec4e890003ba38cbb25fb0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 9,264$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.31 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 7,025$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 44c | 3,650$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,080$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.7 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 986.9$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 754.26$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 37c | 611.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 573.08$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.69 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 66c | 447.81$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 62c | 395$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 31c | 310.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Yes | 67c | 256.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 68c | 219.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 69c | 216.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 210.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked No | 23c | 204.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 52c | 149.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 134.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 43c | 105.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 88.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 72.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 70.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 49c | 65.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked No | 20c | 52.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 59c | 45.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 51c | 41.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 62c | 39.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 35.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Yes | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…37d2backed Yes | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…4990backed Yes | 52c | 28.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…7712backed No | 57c | 27.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…487bbacked Yes | 68c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…41ddbacked Yes | 66c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 19.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.