CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Lilmix (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d8298138ac240cf3c30f7e2b93079618b0e432d71eeb32efb06d0a31ab007c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Eternal Fire, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.97 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 45c | 4,789$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lilmix | 48c | 2,743$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.86 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Eternal Fire | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Eternal Fire | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Eternal Fire | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,709$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 1,367$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.54 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Eternal Fire | 2c | 1,317$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 1,306$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.43 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 1,123$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.86 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 870.3$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lilmix | 53c | 794.02$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.45 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 44c | 739.08$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 36c | 656.27$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 605.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Lilmix | 53c | 537.28$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 532.27$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Eternal Fire | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lilmix | 62c | 476.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 456.62$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 36c | 415.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Lilmix | 56c | 299.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lilmix | 42c | 285.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lilmix | 41c | 278.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 270$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 267.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Eternal Fire | 15c | 254.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…a94abacked Lilmix | 17c | 251.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lilmix | 46c | 218.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 205.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 189.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 54c | 144.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 136.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 121.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Lilmix | 46c | 121.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Lilmix | 47c | 114.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Lilmix | 28c | 110.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Lilmix | 45c | 108.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Lilmix | 19c | 105.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 102.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lilmix | 45c | 99.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Eternal Fire | 17c | 95.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 92.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix | 39c | 82.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Lilmix | 33c | 79.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 76.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lilmix | 61c | 75.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 31c | 73.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lilmix | 47c | 65.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lilmix | 45c | 60.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 57.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 57.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 56.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 52.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 52.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lilmix | 44c | 49.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 49.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Lilmix | 40c | 47.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 46.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lilmix | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Lilmix | 58c | 41.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2e…0b95backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 37.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Lilmix | 69c | 35.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Lilmix | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 70c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lilmix | 44c | 28.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…dd18backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 25.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lilmix | 60c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 19.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Lilmix | 77c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Lilmix (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.