TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3cc…dd18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT5232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+412.3%+$74.22
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$21.19
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$16.84
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$26.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+312.9%+$34.92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$20.17
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)backed Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$12.34
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40.06
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$36.55
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+252.4%+$32.81
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$33.69
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+79%+$13.56
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$12.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$9.71
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$9.62
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Lilmix (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$22.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.29
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$16.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.