TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOSof LOUD, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked LOS55c36,781$20,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,552.1514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked LOUD45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed LOUD46c14,417$6,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,631.7327735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOS54c11,050$5,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,124.221,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed LOS54c10,140$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.377147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed LOS52c8,250$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.8116356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOS60c8,195$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.51,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD38c6,677$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.711,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed LOUD45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LOUD6c5,555$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed LOUD45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9917133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD35c4,927$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.541,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed LOUD45c4,018$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.295959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked LOUD45c3,590$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.511145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked LOUD46c2,821$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29046258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed LOUD46c2,814$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.098045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD46c2,687$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed LOS55c2,544$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.514443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked LOS53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1759248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8051…2ab5backed LOUD45c2,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LOUD45c2,121$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.451,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…8901backed LOUD45c2,016$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.231250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOUD44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed LOS55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.964560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked LOUD47c1,950$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOS47c1,909$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.383,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LOS55c1,876$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.0667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOUD44c1,516$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.612,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5a…a421backed LOUD55c1,445$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LOS55c1,241$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9985652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOUD45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOS53c1,105$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.2245041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD45c1,104$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.961,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed LOUD45c1,050$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.849457.4%54 W · 40 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked LOS54c1,046$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.328253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOUD1c1,035$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LOUD32c1,035$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.521,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LOUD45c1,021$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.455639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LOS65c1,006$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9989347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed LOUD47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47026729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed LOUD2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1de…aadfbacked LOUD1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LOUD45c999.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOS71c996.16$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.841,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked LOUD13c978.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.561915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked LOS55c937.98$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8722455.4%124 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc733…4f14backed LOS56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.866453.1%34 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS54c889.98$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed LOUD45c855$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7532939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LOS62c853.06$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.631,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LOUD54c840.86$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.91,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed LOS56c820$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.84540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOS79c779.65$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.941,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD31c752.54$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.941,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD29c729.66$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed LOUD51c715.62$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36823149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed LOUD45c710.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8737957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed LOUD29c702.15$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3369841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed LOUD43c700$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.550646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOUD11c645.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1245618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD16c636.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.391,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed LOUD46c606.52$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2792360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOUD46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LOUD36c599.85$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.461,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD32c587.92$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…824fbacked LOUD45c562.56$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed LOUD25c534$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1121134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LOS55c516.63$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed LOS69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557450%37 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LOS58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD32c480.12$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15376142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed LOUD39c469.55$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4331244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed LOS56c467.53$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7116155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed LOS64c455.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.074461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed LOUD45c452.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5239447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked LOUD39c445.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4522843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD30c445.51$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.921,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5061…261dbacked LOS50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea86…090dbacked LOS52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOS60c377.96$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.652,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LOUD33c369.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.891,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked LOS55c360.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.441566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked LOS45c360.25$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1540231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed LOUD47c354$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2913054.6%71 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed LOUD30c343.07$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9952743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LOUD55c305.29$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9152848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LOS58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LOUD45c286.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12928638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed LOUD47c279.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.112842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked LOS54c278$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8818335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOUD31c276$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1714546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LOS45c262.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2375342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOS59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2480150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed LOS78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5527465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked LOS55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOUD41c249.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4917438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked LOUD46c249.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9751852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed LOS59c231.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.968165.4%53 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.