Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dafd3616e464522265f54c10c3dc389580073d52b4795a8784db0e0a89feebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOS, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4379…2e16backed LOUD | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOS | 33c | 1,927$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.9 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed LOUD | 67c | 1,863$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.91 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LOS | 33c | 1,500$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.87 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LOS | 33c | 566.26$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed LOUD | 67c | 455.22$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LOS | 34c | 314.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed LOS | 33c | 231.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LOUD | 67c | 203.47$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOS | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed LOS | 33c | 152.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed LOS | 33c | 119.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed LOS | 34c | 88.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed LOS | 33c | 81.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed LOUD | 67c | 78.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed LOS | 34c | 76.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LOS | 33c | 58.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed LOUD | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed LOS | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked LOS | 33c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed LOS | 33c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LOUD | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked LOS | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)LOS won
- Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.