TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eab…d4bfbacked LOS0c44,836$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.841915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOS54c30,355$16,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,495.051,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed LOS54c16,000$8,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,712.4459450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOS53c14,432$7,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,713.621,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed LOUD46c8,002$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.118633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD45c6,000$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.0691854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LOUD48c5,157$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.867760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LOS55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LOS53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.971,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LOUD47c4,888$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.1851044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD45c4,063$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.290537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed LOS56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.988045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked LOUD52c3,750$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9811145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD46c3,588$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.931,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD50c3,570$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.971,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LOUD45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.151,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD41c3,227$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.941,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked LOUD45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.999248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8051…2ab5backed LOUD45c2,818$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOUD46c2,710$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.8960354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOUD46c2,365$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.9745041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.981,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked LOUD43c2,290$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.7446258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb063…fa55backed LOUD45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.225759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed LOUD47c2,146$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.864443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD46c2,073$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12683560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOUD44c1,891$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.6163546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed LOS48c1,829$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.683545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LOUD43c1,806$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD30c1,615$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.241,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LOUD39c1,602$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.5252848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed LOS54c1,461$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.2844451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked LOUD70c1,437$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.1267553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD27c1,431$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1886251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LOUD32c1,407$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9581,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed LOUD38c1,366$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.0669041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked LOUD45c1,320$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.7930357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOUD32c1,320$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.0964247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed LOS58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.994560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOS47c1,283$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.821,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LOS55c1,199$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.0586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed LOUD45c1,097$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.9611037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD46c1,090$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.591,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LOS56c1,049$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.931,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c1,030$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.945920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed LOUD43c1,030$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.14540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4d0cbacked LOS80c1,013$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed LOS25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked LOUD54c970.66$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8643358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfe…7c45backed LOS79c969.05$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed LOS57c928.07$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52926062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOUD45c852.66$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed LOUD44c849.95$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9726729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed LOUD44c844.85$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1232939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked LOS57c842.98$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47728253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed LOS54c840.42$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5631244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed LOS55c815.56$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.564461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LOS56c750$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.533857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked LOUD45c674.12$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8115457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD33c664.86$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.551,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed LOUD77c649.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0625259.1%149 W · 103 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD42c642.1$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.782,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD37c624.36$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3680150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOUD49c607.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9539266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOUD45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33017438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed LOS60c599.43$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.648747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LOS64c589.3$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.531,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LOUD44c577.5$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.432253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed LOUD22c566.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5538835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD71c561.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.011,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOS20c560.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed LOUD47c554.1$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.245764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked LOUD43c538.44$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7328553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked LOUD36c517.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LOUD20c499.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9945937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOUD46c470.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0414546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed LOUD26c440.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9850745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked LOUD23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7847453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…261dbacked LOUD51c418.81$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.136746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOS57c413.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.462,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked LOUD46c406.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6511540%46 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD33c401.66$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.021,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce51…1ddbbacked LOUD52c391.38$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3812657.9%73 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed LOUD52c384.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2411258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked LOS55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked LOS48c358.1$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.378637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked LOUD43c345.72$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.062240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed LOUD39c345$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.816443.3%71 W · 93 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed LOS58c341.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19823149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…ff78backed LOS57c340.05$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.831435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked LOUD35c339.54$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.439940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LOUD28c337.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.051,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1b…722abacked LOUD31c330$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.72250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed LOUD36c321.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5736749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked LOUD66c315.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3518065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked LOS56c315$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.44353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed LOS55c314.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.259046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed LOS12c306$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.157222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.