Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442b749cd109da7d71bd713165ec46c903e044061221af496649daf8311700f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 28c | 741.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 27c | 611.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 54c | 390.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 73c | 348.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 30c | 337.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Over | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 207.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 153.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 72c | 144$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 70c | 132.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…5106backed Over | 71c | 132.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 57.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Over | 73c | 55.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 71c | 51.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…7db5backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Over | 73c | 40.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…b280backed Over | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…bab7backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 72c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)LOS won
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)LOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.