TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked LOS41c23,121$9,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,417.771,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed LOS1c16,666$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6616511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD45c9,894$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.4290937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD66c6,891$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.491,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD54c6,500$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01592254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed LOS55c6,047$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.18045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed LOS57c5,555$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.354560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD43c5,555$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.341,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOS55c4,223$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.6345041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOUD45c3,579$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.61,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed LOUD43c3,158$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.2417133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOS56c3,036$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70061154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked LOUD43c3,022$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.822240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked LOUD45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.989248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked LOUD45c2,811$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.1146258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed LOS57c2,416$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.154443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4d0cbacked LOS57c2,113$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked LOUD65c2,016$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.7143358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LOUD43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed LOUD45c1,873$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.285959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed LOUD45c1,725$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.2632939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c5…8813backed LOS56c1,676$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOS54c1,652$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.171,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed LOUD79c1,518$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4829846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed LOUD48c1,514$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.1169041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD45c1,502$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.041,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed LOS4c1,400$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5852538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked LOUD44c1,300$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72867250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LOS42c1,204$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.371,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOS50c1,122$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4765047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD73c1,076$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.562,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked LOS7c1,049$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32628.1%5 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c1,035$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOS18c1,023$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8145618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LOS45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LOS19c993.71$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.461,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked LOUD53c943.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5512642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked LOS48c884.38$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42428253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked LOS13c789.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD75c768.96$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.341,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked LOS41c655.03$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.58236.6%30 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked LOUD71c634.93$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9318065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD40c623.33$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0e38backed LOS37c615.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23017953.6%96 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD50c601.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.731,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOS55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33096350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…0e69backed LOUD73c545.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.815244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked LOS45c516$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.815149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOS25c490.27$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.391,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LOS20c470.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked LOS54c470$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5830357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD45c468.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked LOUD47c456.31$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9322843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked LOUD45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4495353.7%512 W · 441 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LOUD75c435.2$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.248553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LOS56c419$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.641,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD66c407.34$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.692,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed LOUD74c404.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.225070%35 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD58c402.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7876642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked LOS55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LOS52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked LOS73c399.23$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2832566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed LOS35c373.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.089621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed LOUD53c368.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2423149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD57c362.75$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3195541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOUD45c351.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1139266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed LOUD44c329.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5511037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD80c323.15$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6386451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LOS55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOUD40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18017438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOS57c299.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17280750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LOUD70c287.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2641945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed LOS57c259.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8636465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed LOS24c254$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.553829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed LOS13c253.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7657222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed LOUD62c249.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7815357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked LOUD74c248.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.582781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+40.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LOUD41c244.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.681,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOS52c235.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.321,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed LOUD53c224.53$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5317757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed LOUD44c223.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.364531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked LOUD57c215.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4421848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOS57c207.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1964451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4719…8d69backed LOUD54c201.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed LOS12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked LOS56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOS5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed LOS12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed LOS12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15672234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed LOS56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9935060.3%211 W · 139 L+1.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked LOUD51c197.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4840340.9%165 W · 238 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed LOUD54c194.72$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.576440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23a9…68efbacked LOUD57c194.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.195743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed LOS57c193.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked LOS57c182.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9468557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOS56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed LOS14c177$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7854824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LOS56c176.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.