TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOSof LOUD, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eab…d4bfbacked LOUD0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOS58c11,252$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.461,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed LOUD51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.9918633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed LOUD47c4,444$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.6751044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOS66c4,241$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.9560354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LOS53c4,033$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.7389943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD42c3,400$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.432,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked LOUD37c2,907$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.5311145%50 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD29c2,903$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.712,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LOS47c2,687$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.091,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed LOUD26c2,638$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.299621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6209…ec3dbacked LOUD46c2,496$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LOS72c2,484$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.4852848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LOUD44c2,077$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.5185652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked LOUD57c1,885$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.5243358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed LOUD39c1,786$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LOUD48c1,700$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LOS58c1,694$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.5967760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOUD48c1,680$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.745041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked LOUD53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.7838850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD25c1,348$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.821,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked LOS54c1,310$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.4146258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked LOS49c1,301$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.7317042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOS53c1,153$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.581,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LOS60c1,144$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4682836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed LOS54c1,110$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.594540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOUD1c1,035$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD9c1,034$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LOUD38c1,000$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.541,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed LOS57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43035346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD38c999.97$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed LOS53c958.02$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc733…4f14backed LOS57c874.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed LOUD45c841.97$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8913632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed LOUD17c824.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOS65c822.92$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.731,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOS49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed LOUD43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34415453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed LOUD39c793.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6532939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed LOS63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6533857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked LOS73c789.59$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6226164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed LOS62c789.55$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.151,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LOS51c766.81$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8732253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOS61c745.5$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.371,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD20c722.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD42c669.42$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.971,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LOS59c669.39$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.861,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD32c669.35$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOS56c657.93$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.061,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD30c651.16$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD35c646.26$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.911,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOS49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9617438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed LOS52c599.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9928448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed LOS39c599$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.434560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed LOS33c596$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3717150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed LOS41c589.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.092360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LOUD45c577.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.095639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed LOS52c576.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0843642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97b…53a8backed LOUD42c573.93$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOS59c522$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2757151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed LOUD53c507.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed LOUD43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21550646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked LOUD42c484.84$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4898956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked LOUD41c459.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD51c453.47$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.032,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOS49c446.6$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2363352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed LOS45c444.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.663327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed LOS69c436.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4911258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked LOS77c433.92$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9214848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed LOUD54c432.08$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.994461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD28c415.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.611,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOUD46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea86…090dbacked LOS52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed LOS72c395.9$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.814443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOUD38c392.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.582,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked LOUD41c384.76$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8238655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LOS60c383.07$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.431,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOS42c380.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5714546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked LOUD39c380$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.220154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked LOS53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3628553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed LOUD42c359.23$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4930231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed LOUD27c349.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3837754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LOUD42c349.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.981,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828b…a13fbacked LOS61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710450%52 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed LOS61c322.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4721134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5061…261dbacked LOS63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.466746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed LOS62c314.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4848747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOS51c310.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.911,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed LOUD44c293.7$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12879864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOS68c289.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7139266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked LOS54c278.84$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2718335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD31c273.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.22,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed LOS60c272.12$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3336749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8b…c9ccbacked LOS58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6210851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD43c254.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed LOUD42c254.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2466458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked LOUD39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.512656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LOUD46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked LOUD52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked LOS48c249.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.